目  录

企业环境经济核算的对象和基本内容——基于P-S-R模型解析企业范围内的环境-经济关系                        高敏雪 王依军

中国创新型国家建设发展路径探索——基于国家集成创新系统指数的实证研究                                          吴翊琳

“十二五”产业结构升级的阻碍:城乡消费断层             谷彬

我国工业行业供用水统计方法探讨                  孙婕 金勇进

从文本挖掘视角解读政府工作报告的经济主题

薛薇 康婷婷

非同步交易带跳高频数据下的协变差估计            刘志 仲华超

沪深300股指期现货市场价格发现关系研究        张景肖 乐元顺

北京市基本养老保险隐性债务测算分析            王晓军 米海杰

未决赔款准备金评估的非线性分层模型            张连增 段白鸽

非寿险准备金的异常值检验与稳健链梯法       刘乐平 逯敏 刘旭

基于信度理论计算长期护理转移强度                王燕 张宏飞

滚动分位回归模型及其应用                      苏宇楠 田茂再

结构方程模型分类有序观测变量的变量筛选            郑轶 王星

EXPAR模型的最优辨识                     田玉柱 苏宇楠 田茂再

CONTENTS

Object and Basic Contents of Corporate Environmental Economic Accounting on Corporate Environment—Elaboration on Environmental-Economic Relationship in the Corporation by P-R-S Model                    GAO Minxue WANG Yijun

The Exploration on Development Path of China’s National Innovation System ——Empirical Study on National Integrated Innovation System Index     WU Yilin

Hindering the Upgrading of Industrial Structure for the Twelfth Five-Year Plan: The Gap between Urban and Rural Consumption                           GU Bin

Discussion on the Statistical Method of China’s Industrial Water Supply

SUN Jie JIN Yongjin

Reading the economy topics of government work report from the view of text mining

XUE Wei KANG Tingting

On estimating the co-volatility with nonsynchronous high-frequency data

LIU Zhi ZHONG Huachao

Empirical research on price discovery relationships between CSI 300 futures and index                                       ZHANG Jingxiao LE Yuanshun

Measurement of the Implicit Pension Debt for Beijing   WHANG Xiaojun MI Haijie

Nonlinear Hierarchical Models in Outstanding Claims Reserving

ZHANG Lianzeng DUAN Baige

Detection Outlier of Loss Reserving and Robust Chain-ladder Methods

LIU Leping, LU Min, LIU Xu

Calculating Transition Intensities Based On the Credibility Theory

WANGYan ZHANG Hongfei

Rolling Quantile Regression Model and Its Applications   SU Yunan  TIAN Maozai

Ordinal Categorical Observing Variable Selection in Structural Equation Model

ZHENG Tie WANG Xing

Optimal Estimation of EXPAR model        TIAN Yuzhu SU Yunan TIAN Maozai